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This posting is provided "AS IS" with no warranties, and confers no rights. The opinions expressed within are my own and should not be attributed to any other Individual, Company or the one I work for. I just happen to be a classic techie who is passionate about getting things to work as they should do (and are sometimes advertised and marketed as being able to?) and when I can I drop notes here to help others falling in to the same traps that I have fallen in to. If this has helped then please pass it on - if you feel that I have commented in error or disagree then please feel free to discuss with me either publically or privately? Cheers, Dave
Thin Clients, VDI and Linux integration from the front lines.... Raw and sometimes unedited notes based on my experiences with VMware, Thin Clients, Linux etc.

OK, somewhat off topic I must admit - however those of us involved in IT Strategy and Design always need to keep an eye on what drives the business - so it is only prudent that we do keep something of an eye out as to what is happening in the Global Economy as well as your Local Economy. Now I don't mean to be scaring anyone or being overly alarmist, but at the moment I feel the Economy here in the UK is doing quite OK, especially in Stocks and Shares - it's their turn on the Cycle - but still reasonable in Housing, etc. the only thing that keeps people feeling things aren't quite the best is the Retail Figures being somewhat gloomy? but othe factors in the World may change the outlook and don't be too suprised if things change drastically within a matter of weeks?

Don't forget that all of this may end up affecting whether or not you get the Contract Position or the Project get's the green light!
(Even more so for Dave and Angus?)

I think most of us can't have failed to notice that as little as 2 years ago the price of Oil was around USD $30, and it has recently hit $70. Have a quick look at What's up with oil prices? and you'll also notice that the demand for oil has also been significantly increasing, with China recording a 36% increase in demand since 2002. In fact if you look at the Historic Price of Oil you will notice that we're not far off the same point back in the late 70's when OPEC really put the squeeze on the Global Economy.

So in light of this I was reading in todays Mail on Sunday, (OK, getting a bit personal here where I'm admitting what paper I read? ;-) and found an article written by William Rees-Mogg that also covered this, but as I haven't found an electronic copy I have gone and discovered this one at Home in the Sydney Morning Herald.(Although you may have to register? So I have included it below in Italics)

The Times also has a good article highlighting this (No registration needed) as well as the graphic below illustrating just how Global the impact can be if Russia decides to flex it's "Power" muscles.

Hopefully, all of this may just be a storm in a tea cup? After all, with Prices rising, Russia ends up getting more money added to it's Finances and then they end up better off? Who knows? But it was interesting of William Rees-Mogg to point out that it was only 15 years after the end of WW1 in 1918 Adolf Hitler came to power - and it's also now 15 years since the disintegration of the old Soviet Bloc following the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989?

WARSAW: In the crowded hallways of the Polish parliament, there is talk of a new Cold War in which the weapons have changed from nuclear warheads to oil and gas.

The rival in a widening game of pipelines and corporate strategy is Russia and its empire of energy resources. Ninety per cent of Poland's oil and much of its natural gas flow from Russia. Such equations are distressing for Poles as they rise in stature in the West while remaining tethered in many ways to the political and economic whims of their past enemy.

"Russia is exploiting its control of oil and gas as part of its foreign policy," said Jerzy Marek Nowakowski, a former national security adviser. "This is an extremely dangerous political instrument. Oil and gas are more effective for Russia today than its nuclear weapons were during Communist times."

Since the Cold War ended 15 years ago, Russia's energy prowess has become crucial to a continent wary of the political chaos and unpredictable markets of the Middle East.

The changes across Eastern and Central Europe, especially the democracy movements in the former Soviet bloc, are politicising the dynamics of energy distribution.

Many analysts and legislators say Russia's agitation over democracy's eastward expansion has persuaded Moscow to exert power through oil-and-gas diplomacy that rewards friends and punishes foes.

Such a policy, especially if it led to price increases or cuts in service, could be disastrous for the fragile economies of Poland, Ukraine and other nations trying to slip out of Russia's shadow.

Moscow's grip on the Polish market was felt in September, when Russia and Germany signed a $US5 billion ($7 billion) deal for a natural gas pipeline to run under the Baltic Sea.

The pipeline will bypass Poland and the Baltic countries and give Russia access to new markets.

The pipeline is an "attempt by Moscow to divide the European Union by bypassing Poland and other Central European countries", said Marek Jurek, Speaker of the lower house of parliament. "Russia needs to accept that old Soviet bloc countries are now part of the EU."

Posted on Sunday, January 1, 2006 8:15 PM C500/C600 SmartPhone (or replacement) , Citrix , Exchange and Push Email , IT Management , Real Cool Stuff , Microsoft Tips , VMware and other Virtualization tools , Security | Back to top

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